Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 57.294374 65.350090 73.617995 82.703479 92.373748 102.328155 113.319067
2026-01-18 44.429454 55.827443 68.103464 82.163549 97.687515 114.184386 132.924978
2026-01-25 37.271608 50.488645 65.246764 82.648415 102.336608 123.686225 148.364912
2026-02-01 31.146622 45.443770 61.968862 81.976069 105.099379 130.605416 160.511916
2026-02-08 26.570921 41.634228 59.614181 81.900272 108.131550 137.479508 172.291881
2026-02-15 22.366132 37.793580 56.826384 80.967266 109.877468 142.649862 181.934527
2026-02-22 19.750108 35.689072 55.921268 82.077216 113.838667 150.216089 194.176921
2026-03-01 17.652056 34.040585 55.409915 83.518407 118.073248 158.006082 206.599861
2026-03-08 14.880970 31.157033 53.091241 82.538152 119.253718 162.114465 214.675884
2026-03-15 12.226867 28.129646 50.356107 80.846115 119.417753 164.905241 221.117023
2026-03-22 11.546878 28.014564 51.493910 84.071307 125.593199 174.813469 235.872799
2026-03-29 10.464631 27.142670 51.510708 85.783478 129.851511 182.403985 247.886701
2026-04-05 8.808987 25.159915 49.879693 85.288485 131.347032 186.702612 256.072747
2026-04-12 7.358646 23.326718 48.338985 84.824377 132.819752 190.934346 264.156241
2026-04-19 6.316897 22.073036 47.550910 85.302304 135.435509 196.515423 273.816117
2026-04-26 5.145556 20.373656 45.977426 84.620949 136.500987 200.154578 281.115848
2026-05-03 4.247500 19.054673 44.890755 84.543307 138.295649 204.653472 289.421102
2026-05-10 3.316632 17.451443 43.241687 83.593906 138.893260 207.628460 295.852707
2026-05-17 2.840375 16.802093 43.079224 84.723444 142.199583 213.955193 306.337326
2026-05-24 2.466279 16.326971 43.167052 86.189915 145.938097 220.814899 317.468868
2026-05-31 1.824336 14.926622 41.603058 85.192488 146.352377 223.478278 323.461804
2026-06-07 1.223898 13.350491 39.606389 83.470594 145.731752 224.792308 327.766755
2026-06-14 1.184028 13.655768 40.960320 86.752460 151.878722 234.674586 342.599625